What an interesting time on the stock market.
The Fear and Greed Index is still in ‘Extreme Fear’ mode.
Let’s update our Buy-Hold-Sell List. 38 (!) stocks are a ‘Buy’ right now, the highest number of Buys since we launched the list.
After the tech bubble burst, Amazon's stock dropped over 90%. Many people thought it was just a failing online bookstore.
However, the intrinsic value of the company increased during that time.
Jeff Bezos wrote this in his letter to shareholders in 2000:
The key lesson here? The stock price and the value of a business are not always the same.
When prices fall, long-term investors aren’t being punished. They’re being offered a discount.
If you invested in Amazon when the price dropped and people got scared, you’d have a 600x return.
Why am I saying this? While this is not the same as the tech bubble, these are also interesting times.
Your results will be extraordinary if you can do the average while everyone else panics.
Let’s update our Buy-Hold-Sell List and see whether we can find some interesting Buys.
Buy-Hold-Sell List
The Buy-Hold-Sell List is a list of quality companies. We wrote a few articles about it in the past:
We look for discounts based on three valuation methods:
Comparing the Forward PE multiple to its historical average
Earnings Growth Model
Reverse Discounted-Cash Flow
Afterwards, we give each company a Buy, Hold, or Sell recommendation.
Update
We added three companies since our last update:
Brookfield Corporation ($BN): Invests in real estate, energy, and infrastructure
Computer Modelling Group ($CMG): Makes software for oil and gas simulation
Lifco ($LIFCO-B): Buys niche companies in dental, tools, and systems solutions
Computer Modelling Group receives a ‘Buy’ recommendation. They are trying to become a successful Serial Acquirer in the niche software segment for Oil & Gas.
Brookfield Corporation and Lifco are a ‘Hold’ for us right now. We would love to own both companies at a lower price.
Brookfield Corporation: A large global company that owns and manages real estate, renewable energy, infrastructure (like roads and pipelines), and private businesses to earn steady income and grow over time.
Lifco: A Swedish company that owns many small businesses in different sectors like health, machines, and construction.
Furthermore, we changed the recommendations of some companies since the last update.