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Dan's avatar

"so we state that the stock will trade at 20x earnings in 10 years from now"

But how to predict it? I mean, that PE will be 20x, not 10x, for example?

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Compounding Quality's avatar

Well... You take a PE that is reasonable/fair according to you.

If you think it's 10x, you should take 10x.

Personally, I think Evolution Gaming is a beautiful business and as a result I would be more than happy to buy/own the company at 20x earnings, which is why I choose 20x.

I hope this helps!

Kind regards,

QC

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puncher's avatar

I also find it difficult to find a fair PE or a fair earnings growth for the future because I always think, well I'm biased anyway. So do you have any tips? Should I rely on Analysts estimated values?

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Compounding Quality's avatar

Hi,

I usually look at 3 things to determine the future growth rate:

- historical growth rates

- outlook of management

- consensus of analysts

It's always very important to use a margin of safety on these numbers as analysts are often way too optimistic for example.

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