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Rajat Bose's avatar

Thank you, so much. I have started reading your blog almost religiously in the recent past. Now, I have become your big fan. I share your posts with a lot of friends, colleagues and also on social media. Now, I have a question.

Can you throw some light on this aspect? Lots of astute investors have made huge money over the last 30 years; do you agree that their performance had been ably assisted by a the 40-year old (since 1981) downtrend in interest rates pushing it to almost zero? Please don't get me wrong, I am not belittling anybody's performance, I am just trying to gauge how much extra effort and/or extra time would be needed in a rising interest rate scenario. Yes, one thing I believe is that interest rates would not go down that much again anytime soon. Even if it does, central banks pumping in another $25 trillion, like they did between 2014 and 2021 (out of that $9 trillion between 2020 and 2021) again, is unlikely to happen for since a large part of those assets creating money still remain in their books making it quite difficult for another round of humongous QE. I am trying to understand what kind of headwind we would have to face notwithstanding great fund managers and quality compounder companies. Please share your views.

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Kartikey Goswami's avatar

Just WoW....

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